[Neocp_artsats] C44C831 = junk; three other NEOCP artsats recently removed
Bill Gray
pluto at projectpluto.com
Mon Jan 27 15:00:25 EST 2025
First, some good news : I just learned, from
https://www.astronomy.com/science/astronomers-just-deleted-an-asteroid-because-it-turned-out-to-be-elon-musks-tesla-roadster/
that "the MPC is collaborating with JPL on a system to better detect
artificial objects that aren't in Earth orbit". Sounds like an
excellent idea to me.
C44C831, currently on NEOCP, has a solid 2.7-day orbit (not good
enough for me to make TLEs for it, but enough to make me think it'll
get found again).
CCT8E72 got a decent arc (21 hours) from four sites, enough to show
that it was an ETBO. At H=34.2, it's one of the smaller ones :
https://www.projectpluto.com/pluto/mpecs/cct8e72.htm
This is also in a higher (2.9-day) orbit. Combine this with CCNT4U2
from earlier this month,
https://www.projectpluto.com/neocp2/mpecs/CCNT4U2.htm
and I'm seeing an ugly trend toward multi-day ETBOs. Previously,
the only one we had was Multijunk. These are very annoying, hard to
predict objects that move slower than the one-day junk we're used to
seeing. I assume some higher-orbiting object lost its insulation. This
could be a confounded nuisance.
Also on NEOCP were xkos477 = Gaia; we now have good ephems for this
object and should avoid further trouble. C44AXX1 was the separating
piece between Blue Ghost and Hakuto-R, 2025-010C. It'll re-enter over
South America at latitude ~41 S on 2025 March 15 at noon UTC, plus or
minus about half an hour (meaning it could end up in the Atlantic or
Pacific). I expect we'll get enough data to provide a solid re-entry
prediction well before then, enough to tell people where to look for it.
We now have good trajectories for it, Hakuto-R, Blue Ghost, and
the Falcon 9 upper stage. The latter will remain in high earth orbit
for at least the next few months, but should eventually hit the earth
or moon or be ejected into an heliocentric orbit.
-- Bill
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