[Neocp_artsats] hb0009 = ZTF0IiT = ETBO, I think
Bill Gray
pluto at projectpluto.com
Fri Mar 19 22:58:10 EDT 2021
At the very least, hb0009 is geocentric junk :
Orbital elements: hb0009
Perigee 2021 Mar 19.960667 +/- 0.00179 TT = 23:03:21.6 (JD 2459293.460667)
Epoch 2021 Mar 20.0 TT = JDT 2459293.5 Gray
M 15.134154860 +/- 0.7 (J2000 equator)
n 384.767160832 +/- 1.69 Peri. 14.817302 +/- 0.044
a 40408.38627 +/- 118 Node 5.077057 +/- 0.0026
e 0.69818938 +/- 0.00158 Incl. 40.588751 +/- 0.024
P1347.28m/0.936d H 32.8 G 0.15 U 13.1
q 12195.67981 +/- 99.5 Q 68621.09273 +/- 136
From 6 observations 2021 Mar. 19 (3.2 hr); mean residual 0".897
By default, Find_Orb latches onto a higher geocentric orbit and
fits four observations badly. Set a distance of 70000 km, do a few
Herget steps and a few full steps, and it converges to this much
more reasonable orbit. The residuals look bad, especially since
ATLAS tends to get tiny residuals for bright objects :
Residuals in arcseconds:
210319 T08 1.07- 1.75+ 210319 T08 .384- .501+ 210319 T08 .331+ .304-
210319 T08 1.14+ 1.86- 210319 T08 .131+ .226- 210319 T08 .157- .138+
But the large residuals are entirely because this is a fast-mover.
Put the resids into along-track in seconds/cross-track in arcseconds
form, and suddenly, the observations seem quite reasonable :
Residuals in seconds along-track and arcseconds cross-track :
210319 T08 -.59s .117- 210319 T08 -.19s .020+ 210319 T08 +.13s .080-
210319 T08 +.63s .115+ 210319 T08 +78ms .026+ 210319 T08 -60ms .035+
The orbit looks like a passable match to an object found by
ZTF three months ago. The orbit was so miserably determined that
I wasn't even sure it was geocentric, but I added it to my list
of "betcha somebody's going to find this again someday" objects.
Not much is in orbits at this inclination with this eccentricity,
so a chance match is unlikely.
Orbital elements: ZTF0IiT
Perigee 2020 Dec 21.587250 +/- 0.809 TT = 14:05:38.4 (JD 2459205.087250)
Epoch 2020 Dec 22.0 TT = JDT 2459205.5 Gray
M 127.254601146 +/- 120 (J2000 equator)
n 308.309464151 +/- 380 Peri. 248.312695 +/- 35
a 46839.50195 +/- 38469 Node 3.334993 +/- 14
e 0.62942143 +/- 0.513 Incl. 40.190057 +/- 1.6
P1681.40m/1.168d H 32.7 G 0.15 U 16.7
q 17357.71545 +/- 38259 Q 76321.28845 +/- 38753
From 4 observations 2020 Dec. 22 (44.5 min); mean residual 0".387
Unless more data comes in, I don't expect to actually find an orbit
linking ZTF0IiT = hb0009, especially since the object is probably an
ETBO. (Which means I could probably fit a bunch of orbits to the
current data, and would believe none of them very much.)
-- Bill
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